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Liverpool’s Premier League title chances just received a substantial boost over the past 48 hours.
Arsenal played host to West Ham on Saturday knowing that victory would narrow the gap at the summit to just five points.
But, a shock 1-0 defeat coupled with the Reds taking all three points against Manchester City a day later, means that a crucial eleven-point lead has opened on their closest challengers with eleven games to play.
Mohamed Salah and Dominik Szoboszlai with a goal and assist each, helped Liverpool cruise to a 2-0 victory in what is potentially the greatest ninety-minute performance of the Arne Slot era thus far.
Following the huge justifications on the title-race, we will be looking at how many more points the Reds will need to seal their twentieth league title and first for Arne Slot.
REMAINING FIXTURESLiverpool FC via Liverpool FC.com
A huge advantage in this title-race for Liverpool is their fixtures, in comparison to Arsenal.
The Reds have eleven fixtures remaining as opposed to Arsenal’s twelve, with seven of those at Anfield, including their next three.
HOME:
Newcastle, Southampton, Everton, West Ham, Tottenham, ARSENAL, Crystal Palace.
AWAY:
Fulham, Leicester City, Chelsea, Brighton.
Fortunately for Liverpool, they have managed to get the tougher away fixtures out of their way with only fellow ‘top-six’ club, Chelsea, their trickiest meeting, on paper.
As for at home, Newcastle, Everton and of course, Arsenal, are the standouts picks in terms of difficulty compared to the rest.
If this set is compared to the Gunners’ remaining games, then things look a lot more complicated for Mikel Arteta.
HOME:
Chelsea, Fulham, Brentford, Crystal Palace, Bournemouth, Newcastle
AWAY:
Nottingham Forest, Manchester United, Everton, Ipswich, LIVERPOOL, Southampton
Both teams still have to play the same six teams in the ‘run-in’, as well as their Anfield meeting.
Undoubtedly, Liverpool are the favourites at 95.8%, according to Opta.
REQUIRED POINTS TOTAL
In seasons prior to this one, Liverpool have been in competition with a brilliant Manchester City side and have needed to aim for 100 points to stand a fighting chance.
In 2018-19, a Jürgen Klopp team went toe-to-toe with City until the very last day of the campaign, racking up an incredible 97 points over 38 matches, but defeat at the Etihad in January 2019 meant the Citizens pipped Liverpool by a point.
The same events occurred in 2021-22, as Liverpool achieved 92 points, whereas Manchester City went one better with 93.
Pep Guardiola’s arrival at Man City was the beginning of an intense rivalry between Jürgen Klopp and Liverpool.
Action Images via Reuters/Jason Cairnduff/File Photo.
The average points tally needed to win the Premier League have increased a significant amount since Pep Guardiola came to England in 2016.
Since then, the average number of points needed to be crowned champions is 93.6, a significant jump on the 87.8 point average over the course of the entire Premier League era, from 1992-93.
One silver lining for Liverpool this season is that they won’t need to aim for high nineties to get the job done.
Following Arsenal’s defeat to West Ham, their maximum amount of points now stands at 89, meaning Liverpool, who now currently sit on 64, would need a further 26 points to secure their second Premier League title in six years.
Although, this is only on the basis that Arsenal are victorious in every game from now until the end, including when they face the Reds at Anfield in May.
It is highly unlikely that Mikel Arteta’s side remain perfect, so Liverpool could afford to not hit the target of ninety.
PROJECTED POINTS TALLYDavid Rawcliffe/Propaganda.
The Reds’ maximum points tally for the remainder of the season is 97.
Arsenal are currently averaging a total of 2.04 points-per-game and are projected to end the season with 77 points, if those standards are kept.
For Liverpool, an extra 26 points will mathematically secure their status as champions but can be afforded the odd slip-up here and there.
A drop of six points will still be enough for the title, the equivalent of three draws or two defeats from their remaining eleven matches, meaning a final tally in the mid-to-high eighties should be job done for the Reds.
Arne Slot has supporters dreaming again with an eleven-point lead looking unassailable at this stage in the season.
Eleven games to play, the overall feeling is that this year will finally be Liverpool’s year, again.
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