Football Insider

Championship relegation battle: Supercomputer releases new predictions after Leicester and Portsmouth Good Friday results

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Credit: Imago Fri 3 April 2026 19:19, UK The Championship relegation battle has taken yet another twist on Good Friday after several sides saw out crucial games.Going into matchday 40, many clubs were in vital need of victories, with Oxford United, Leicester City, Portsmouth, West Bromwich Albion and Blackburn Rovers all in serious risk of the drop.However, only Rovers were able to pick up three points, with the other four sides all drawing their matches.For the sides that remain outside of the bottom three, this was seen as another step closer to safety, with Portsmouth now being tipped for survival over Leicester.Below, Football Insider has explored Opta’s predictions as the Championship relegation battle continues to heat up.Leicester City tipped for shock Championship relegationWhile Leicester were able to rescue a draw against Preston North End on Good Friday, this was not enough to pull them out of the relegation zone. MORE FOOTBALL INSIDER STORIES As a result, Opta on 3 April believes they will now join Sheffield Wednesday and Oxford United in League One next season.Position ClubPointsGoal difference19thBlackburn Rovers46-1220thWest Brom 44-1421stPortsmouth 41-1722ndLeicester 40-923rdOxford United40-1524thSheffield Wednesday-6-57Leicester remain in the relegation zone after the drawThe supercomputer has believes the Foxes will end up on 48.44 points, compared to Portsmouth’s 49.12 points.In comparison, Oxford United are given little hope of survival at 47.40 points and a 70.20 per cent chance of going down.West Brom’s current unbeaten run has put them in an excellent position to survive, and they now have just a 16.70 per cent chance of being relegated.Likewise, Blackburn are seen as essentially safe, despite being just six points above the relegation zone, with a 9.48 per cent chance of returning to League One for the 2026-27 campaign.Who could still get promoted?Coventry are all but certain to go up according to the supercomputer, having a 99.92 per cent chance of reaching the Premier League.The battle for second place is now really heating up after Millwall’s win over Middlesbrough, with the Lions having a 31.02 per cent chance of promotion and Boro’s standing at 25.38 per cent.Today's full-time scores with one fixture still to come! 👇#EFL | #SkyBetChampionship pic.twitter.com/OnNmbGEbMy— Sky Bet Championship (@SkyBetChamp) April 3, 2026 Ipswich are the current favourites to go up automatically alongside Coventry at 41.96 per cent.However, it remains to be seen who will win the battle, with plenty of twists and turns expected in the remaining six matches. 🏆 Championship Insider Access Get the full story from across the EFL with our dedicated expert hubs: Updated 24/7 with expert analysis from across the EFL Championship.